Financing Policy and Business Cycles: Applying Organizational
Theories to the French Market
Politique de financement et fluctuations économiques : une application
des théoriques organisationnelles au marché français (455p.)
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- under supervision of professor Gérard Charreaux
- Decembre 17th, 2002 at Dijon
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Résumé
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The thesis analyzes the dynamic of financing
choices from French companies between 1982 and 1997. While the previous
researches have made an effort to explain the financial
structures between firms, my aim is to provide a conceptual framework,
regular testability and empirical results of the financing decisions
made by managers, during the business cycles.
According to the pecking order theory, the companies should favor
equity capital in the financing of their investments and, in the
same time, cluster their seasoned equity offering
during the economic expansions. The agency theory suggests that
conflict of interests would push managers to adapt their financing
decisions to the economic conditions. The dissertation builds a
financing model at three levels: a macro level (the stock market),
a meso level (the firm) and a micro level (the individual actors'
decisions). However, the governance literature predicts, at this
latter level, that manager should prefer to issue new debts during
economic expansions while this policy allow them to reduce the constraints
of stockholders.
Those hypotheses are confronted to reality using several and original
proxies of the financing choices and panel data models on the French
stock market between 1982 and 1997.
The results conclude with a dissonance of the tested theories. The
primary equity issue activity on the stock market fluctuates as
the business cycles. The informational effect of an equity offering
depends on the current economic conditions. Nevertheless, those
tests are only partial aspects of the organizational theory of financial
policy. The study of the nature of external financing of French
firms, that is the choice of a financial asset (bond or equity)
to issue made by top managers, leads to conclude they are favoring
debt during expansions. The conceptual framework and the empirical
proxies of this dissertation open a way to original researches about
financing policy theories using the methodology of panel data.
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